Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.018819 0.020289 0.021819 0.023532 0.025395 0.027364 0.029603
2025-11-09 0.016097 0.018165 0.020430 0.023098 0.026161 0.029575 0.033680
2025-11-16 0.014275 0.016659 0.019369 0.022686 0.026651 0.031256 0.037032
2025-11-23 0.013092 0.015700 0.018756 0.022615 0.027384 0.033114 0.040565
2025-11-30 0.012097 0.014846 0.018149 0.022435 0.027885 0.034628 0.043675
2025-12-07 0.011298 0.014150 0.017656 0.022315 0.028391 0.036112 0.046768
2025-12-14 0.010589 0.013504 0.017163 0.022131 0.028763 0.037394 0.049619
2025-12-21 0.010065 0.013055 0.016879 0.022177 0.029404 0.039028 0.052997
2025-12-28 0.009534 0.012558 0.016494 0.022049 0.029779 0.040291 0.055903
2026-01-04 0.009095 0.012155 0.016203 0.022016 0.030262 0.041703 0.059070
2026-01-11 0.008739 0.011841 0.016009 0.022097 0.030889 0.043328 0.062616
2026-01-18 0.008369 0.011486 0.015736 0.022041 0.031304 0.044651 0.065766
2026-01-25 0.008004 0.011135 0.015469 0.022007 0.031788 0.046158 0.069386
2026-02-01 0.007556 0.010644 0.014981 0.021625 0.031738 0.046870 0.071833
2026-02-08 0.007144 0.010185 0.014515 0.021246 0.031662 0.047523 0.074210
2026-02-15 0.006854 0.009889 0.014269 0.021181 0.032052 0.048905 0.077832
2026-02-22 0.006559 0.009569 0.013971 0.021014 0.032266 0.050007 0.081044
2026-03-01 0.006299 0.009291 0.013719 0.020902 0.032553 0.051231 0.084521
2026-03-08 0.006043 0.009005 0.013441 0.020731 0.032730 0.052273 0.087737
2026-03-15 0.005855 0.008816 0.013303 0.020774 0.033252 0.053906 0.092081
2026-03-22 0.005641 0.008576 0.013074 0.020655 0.033493 0.055068 0.095643
2026-03-29 0.005461 0.008380 0.012905 0.020624 0.033878 0.056489 0.099758
2026-04-05 0.005313 0.008232 0.012804 0.020699 0.034442 0.058245 0.104598